Oxford v Reading prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Oxford and 1.4 from Reading, so Oxford come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Reading come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.