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Football/EFL League One/Stevenage v Sheffield Weds
EFL League One · Lamex Stadium

Stevenage v Sheffield Weds prediction

Stevenage crestStevenageDDWWL
v
Sheffield Weds crestSheffield WedsWWWDD

What to expect

We expect about 1.0 goals from Stevenage and 1.1 from Sheffield Weds, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Sheffield Weds come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Sheffield Weds or Draw. This covers Sheffield Weds or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Stevenage have won two of their last five.
Sheffield Weds are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.

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Bradford are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 57% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookBradford to win · 1.75Share
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