How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Peterboro to score 1 or fewer 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Stockport host Peterboro at Edgeley Park on 26 September. Stockport sit third in the 24-team League One table with 13 points from eight games and a +7 goal difference. They are just one point behind Sheffield Wednesday and level with Plymouth Argyle. Peterboro are down at 23rd with five points, a –9 goal difference, one point behind Milton Keynes Dons and one point ahead of Wigan Athletic. Both clubs are looking for something from this match – Stockport want to keep pressure on the European places, while Peterboro are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone.
Stockport’s form in their last eight outings has been mixed. They drew 0-0 with Sheffield Wednesday away, then lost 4-3 to Leicester at home, beat Wigan 4-0 away, fell 2-0 to Luton away, thrashed Wycombe 5-1 at home and were beaten 2-1 by Blackpool at home. In that stretch they have won four, drawn one and lost three. At home they have one win and two defeats in the last three games. Overall they have scored 19 goals and let in 11, kept two clean sheets and have been shut out twice. Most of those games have been high-scoring, with six seeing three or more goals and both sides finding the net in five of them.
Peterboro have struggled to find consistency in their recent eight matches. They lost 2-0 to Doncaster at home, drew 1-1 with Milton Keynes Dons away, fell 2-1 to Sheffield Wednesday at home, held Stevenage to a 0-0 draw at home, were beaten 4-0 by Blackpool away and managed a 2-1 win over Mansfield at home. That gives them one win, two draws and five defeats, and they have now gone five games without a victory. On the road they have not won in three trips, drawing once and losing twice. In total they have scored five goals while conceding 15, kept a single clean sheet and have failed to score in four games. Four of those fixtures produced three or more goals and both sides scored in four of them.
The two clubs have met four times before this clash. Stockport have won twice, Peterboro once and one game ended in a draw. Those meetings have produced an average of three goals per game. The most recent encounter was on 25 April 2026 when Stockport beat Peterboro 3-1. Given the recent goal-rich history and the fact that both sides have shown the ability to score and concede, we expect another open contest with chances at both ends.
Our pick is that Peterboro will score one goal or fewer. The price of 1.30 is shorter than what we feel the game warrants, but the chance of the bet hitting sits at 71 per cent in our view. For this to go wrong Peterboro would need to find the net twice, which has only happened in about one-fifth of their recent games. If they keep to the pattern of low scoring on the road and manage to limit themselves to a single goal, the bet should be a good return.
Recent results
Stockport have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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