Wigan v Bromley: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Bromley to score 1 or fewer 77%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Wigan and 0.9 from Bromley, so Wigan come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Wigan come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Bromley to score 1 or fewer. This is about Bromley's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.