How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 4. We made Both teams to score 55%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Wigan and 1.4 from Stockport, so Stockport come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 52%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Stockport have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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