How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Colchester and 1.1 from Oldham, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Oldham come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 75%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.
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