This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.0-1.3), keeping it under more often than not (about 59%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 55%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 54%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.1-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 58%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
This is our most likely exact scoreline for the game (xG 1.0-1.2). Correct score is a long shot by nature, so treat it as a small-stakes punt rather than a banker.
This is our most likely exact scoreline for the game (xG 1.6-0.7). Correct score is a long shot by nature, so treat it as a small-stakes punt rather than a banker.
This is our most likely exact scoreline for the game (xG 1.4-1.0). Correct score is a long shot by nature, so treat it as a small-stakes punt rather than a banker.
Port Vale are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.9), and we make them about 62% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.4 goals in total (xG 1.5-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 55%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
This should be an open game: we make it around 2.6 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.6), landing about 74% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.2), landing about 58% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.