How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Colchester or Draw 67%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Colchester and 1.2 from Walsall, so Colchester come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Colchester or Draw. This covers Colchester or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Colchester have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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