What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Newport County and 1.2 from Swindon, so Newport County come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Swindon come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Swindon or Draw. This covers Swindon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Swindon have won four of the last five meetings.
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