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Football/Liga MX/Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL
Liga MX · Estadio Akron

Guadalajara Chivas v Tigres UANL prediction

Guadalajara Chivas crestGuadalajara Chivas4th of 18 · 19 ptsWDLLD
v
Tigres UANL crestTigres UANL11th of 18 · 13 ptsDLLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Guadalajara Chivas and 1.0 from Tigres UANL, so Guadalajara Chivas come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Tigres UANL come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Tigres UANL to score 1 or fewer. This is about Tigres UANL's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Guadalajara Chivas have won one of their last five.
✓Tigres UANL have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

10 May 2026Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 0 Tigres UANL
3 May 2026Tigres UANL 3 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
12 Apr 2026Tigres UANL 4 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas
18 Sept 2025Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 0 Tigres UANL
26 Jan 2025Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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