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Football/Liga MX/Monterrey v Pachuca
Liga MX · Estadio BBVA

Monterrey v Pachuca prediction

Monterrey crestMonterrey10th of 18 · 14 ptsLDWLD
v
Pachuca crestPachuca11th of 18 · 13 ptsWWDLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Monterrey and 1.3 from Pachuca, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Pachuca or Draw. This covers Pachuca or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Monterrey have won one of their last five.
✓Pachuca have won two of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

19 Apr 2026Monterrey 1 - 3 Pachuca
14 Jul 2025Pachuca 3 - 0 Monterrey
28 Apr 2025Monterrey 1 - 2 Pachuca
26 Jan 2025Monterrey 2 - 3 Pachuca
8 Jul 2024Pachuca 0 - 1 Monterrey

Pachuca have won four of the last five meetings.

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