What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Necaxa and 1.4 from Atlas, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Necaxa or Draw. This covers Necaxa or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Necaxa have not won any of their last five.
✓Atlas have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
17 Jan 2026Necaxa 0 - 1 Atlas
28 Sept 2025Atlas 3 - 2 Necaxa
19 Feb 2025Atlas 0 - 4 Necaxa
10 Nov 2024Necaxa 0 - 0 Atlas
15 Jan 2024Necaxa 2 - 1 Atlas
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