What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from UNAM Pumas and 1.4 from Cruz Azul, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
UNAM Pumas come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: UNAM Pumas to score. This is about UNAM Pumas's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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