What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Necaxa and 1.2 from Club Leon, so Necaxa come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Necaxa (Draw No Bet). Necaxa favoured (xG 1.9-1.1); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Necaxa have won one of their last five.
✓Club Leon have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
1 Mar 2026Club Leon 2 - 1 Necaxa
16 Aug 2025Necaxa 0 - 1 Club Leon
15 Mar 2025Necaxa 2 - 1 Club Leon
22 Jul 2024Club Leon 1 - 1 Necaxa
1 Apr 2024Necaxa 1 - 2 Club Leon
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Club Leon win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.
