How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Atlante to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Queretaro and 1.0 from Atlante, so Queretaro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Atlante to score 1 or fewer. This is about Atlante's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Atlante have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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