How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 0. We made UNAM Pumas (Draw No Bet) 74%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from UNAM Pumas and 0.9 from Queretaro, so UNAM Pumas come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
UNAM Pumas come into this on two straight wins. Queretaro come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: UNAM Pumas (Draw No Bet). UNAM Pumas are favoured here (xG 1.9-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a UNAM Pumas defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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