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Football/Ligue 1/Auxerre v Le Mans
Ligue 1

Auxerre v Le Mans prediction

Auxerre crestAuxerre16th of 18 · 6 ptsLLWWL
v
Le Mans crestLe Mans14th of 18 · 6 ptsLDDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Auxerre and 1.6 from Le Mans, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.68, which works out at about 60 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Auxerre have won two of their last five.
✓Le Mans have won one of their last five.

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More Ligue 1 fixtures

Full fixture list
Lille crestLillevBrestBrest crest★★★★★
Lille are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-1.0), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLille to win · 1.80Share
Troyes crestTroyesvLensLens crest★★★★★
Lens shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.1), and we make them about 69% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
Match outlookLens to win · 1.86Share
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