How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Marseille and 1.9 from Paris SG, so Paris SG come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Marseille come into this on four straight defeats. Paris SG come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 67%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Paris SG have won four of the last five meetings.
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