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Football/Ligue 1/Nice v Lille
Ligue 1

Nice v Lille: how it went

Nice crestNice14th of 18 · 5 ptsDDLDL
2 - 1
Lille crestLille4th of 18 · 10 ptsWDWLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 52%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 0.9 goals from Nice and 1.4 from Lille, so Lille come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 0.9-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 52%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.77, which works out at about 56 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Nice have not won any of their last five.
✓Lille have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

18 Apr 2026Lille 0 - 0 Nice
29 Oct 2025Nice 2 - 0 Lille
17 Jan 2025Lille 2 - 1 Nice
10 Nov 2024Nice 2 - 2 Lille
19 May 2024Lille 2 - 2 Nice

The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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More Ligue 1 fixtures

Full fixture list
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Every game on Sunday, 20 September 2026 →
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