How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. We made Marseille (Draw No Bet) 60%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Marseille and 1.5 from Strasbourg, so Marseille come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Marseille come into this on two straight wins. Strasbourg come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Marseille (Draw No Bet). Marseille are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Marseille defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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