What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Marseille and 1.5 from Strasbourg, so Marseille come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Marseille (Draw No Bet). Marseille are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Marseille defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Strasbourg win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 66%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.