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Football/Ligue 1/Monaco v Marseille
Ligue 1

Monaco v Marseille: how it went

Monaco crestMonaco1st of 18 · 13 ptsDWLLW
2 - 0
Marseille crestMarseille17th of 18 · 3 ptsDLWWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.6 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Both teams to score 63%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.9 goals from Monaco and 1.7 from Marseille, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Marseille come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Monaco have won two of their last five.
✓Marseille have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

5 Apr 2026Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
14 Dec 2025Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco
12 Apr 2025Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille
1 Dec 2024Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
27 Jan 2024Marseille 2 - 2 Monaco
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More Ligue 1 fixtures

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