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Football/Ligue 1/Rennes v Paris SG
Ligue 1

Rennes v Paris SG prediction

Rennes crestRennesWLLLL
v
Paris SG crestParis SGWDWWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Rennes and 2.0 from Paris SG, so Paris SG come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Rennes come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Paris SG or Draw. This covers Paris SG or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Rennes have won one of their last five.
Paris SG have won three of their last five.
Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 Feb 2026Rennes 3 - 1 Paris SG
6 Dec 2025Paris SG 5 - 0 Rennes
8 Mar 2025Rennes 1 - 4 Paris SG
27 Sept 2024Paris SG 3 - 1 Rennes
25 Feb 2024Paris SG 1 - 1 Rennes
Paris SG have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. The price is shorter than our own read of about 80%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More Ligue 1 fixtures

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