What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Troyes and 1.9 from Le Mans, so Le Mans come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Troyes come into this on five straight defeats. Le Mans come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Le Mans have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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