How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Both teams to score 69%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Troyes and 1.4 from Paris FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 69%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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