How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Under 3.5 goals 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Annecy and 1.1 from Montpellier, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Montpellier come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.0-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 81%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Montpellier have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
