How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. We made St Etienne or Draw 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Guingamp and 1.7 from St Etienne, so St Etienne come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
St Etienne come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: St Etienne or Draw. This covers St Etienne or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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