What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Red Star and 1.1 from Nancy, so Red Star come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Red Star come into this on two straight defeats. Nancy come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.5 goals (xG 1.3-1.1), and two is enough to land it, landing about 69% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Red Star have won two of the last two meetings.
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