How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Rodez (Draw No Bet) 70%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from Rodez and 1.2 from Pau FC, so Rodez come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Rodez (Draw No Bet). Rodez are favoured here (xG 2.1-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Rodez defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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