What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Racing FC Union Luxembourg and 1.3 from AS Jeunesse Esch, so Racing FC Union Luxembourg come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
AS Jeunesse Esch come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Racing FC Union Luxembourg to win. Racing FC Union Luxembourg are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.3), and we make them about 50% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
