How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. We made AS Jeunesse Esch or Draw 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Swift Hesperange and 1.5 from AS Jeunesse Esch, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Swift Hesperange come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: AS Jeunesse Esch or Draw. This covers AS Jeunesse Esch or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.05, which works out at about 95 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Swift Hesperange have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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