How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Terengganu to win 43%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Star City and 1.7 from Terengganu, so Terengganu come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Terengganu to win. Terengganu shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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