How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Selangor (Draw No Bet) 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Terengganu and 1.6 from Selangor, so Selangor come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Selangor (Draw No Bet). Selangor are favoured here (xG 1.0-1.6), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Selangor defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Terengganu win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.