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Football/MLS/Atlanta Utd v Toronto FC
MLS · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta Utd v Toronto FC prediction

Atlanta Utd crestAtlanta Utd14th in Eastern · 30 ptsLLLLL
v
Toronto FC crestToronto FC12th in Eastern · 39 ptsDWWLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Atlanta Utd and 1.4 from Toronto FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Atlanta Utd come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Atlanta Utd have not won any of their last five.
✓Toronto FC have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

25 Apr 2026Toronto FC 1 - 2 Atlanta Utd
24 Aug 2025Atlanta Utd 0 - 0 Toronto FC
13 Jul 2025Toronto FC 1 - 1 Atlanta Utd
30 Jun 2024Atlanta Utd 2 - 1 Toronto FC
23 Mar 2024Toronto FC 2 - 0 Atlanta Utd

Atlanta Utd have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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