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Football/MLS/Houston Dynamo v FC Dallas
MLS · Shell Energy Stadium

Houston Dynamo v FC Dallas prediction

Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoDWLDL
v
FC Dallas crestFC Dallas3rd in Western · 47 ptsWWDWL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Houston Dynamo and 1.2 from FC Dallas, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Houston Dynamo have won one of their last five.
✓FC Dallas have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Mar 2026FC Dallas 4 - 3 Houston Dynamo
18 May 2025FC Dallas 0 - 2 Houston Dynamo
23 Feb 2025Houston Dynamo 1 - 2 FC Dallas
19 May 2024Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 FC Dallas
28 Apr 2024FC Dallas 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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