Inter Miami v New York City prediction

Inter MiamiDDDDL

New York CityDLWLD

What to expect

We expect about 2.1 goals from Inter Miami and 1.5 from New York City, so Inter Miami come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.6 goals between the two (xG 2.1-1.5), landing about 60% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Inter Miami have not won any of their last five.

✓New York City have won one of their last five.

✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.

✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

22 Mar 2026New York City 2 - 3 Inter Miami

29 Nov 2025Inter Miami 5 - 1 New York City

25 Sept 2025New York City 0 - 4 Inter Miami

23 Feb 2025Inter Miami 2 - 2 New York City

21 Sept 2024New York City 1 - 1 Inter Miami

Inter Miami have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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