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Football/MLS/New York City v Atlanta Utd
MLS · Yankee Stadium

New York City v Atlanta Utd: how it went

New York City crestNew York CityDLLDD
2 - 1
Atlanta Utd crestAtlanta Utd14th in Eastern · 30 ptsWLLLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Atlanta Utd to score 1 or fewer 73%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from New York City and 1.1 from Atlanta Utd, so New York City come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

New York City come into this on two straight draws. Atlanta Utd come into this on four straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Atlanta Utd to score 1 or fewer. This is about Atlanta Utd's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 73%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓New York City have not won any of their last five.
✓Atlanta Utd have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

27 Sept 2026Atlanta Utd 2 - 2 New York City
13 Jun 2025New York City 4 - 0 Atlanta Utd
29 Mar 2025Atlanta Utd 4 - 3 New York City
18 Jul 2024Atlanta Utd 2 - 2 New York City
7 Apr 2024New York City 1 - 1 Atlanta Utd

The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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Every game on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 →
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