What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Philadelphia Union and 1.6 from FC Cincinnati, so Philadelphia Union come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 62%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
