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Football/MLS/Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes
MLS · America First Field

Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake11th in Western · 32 ptsLLLLW
v
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes4th in Western · 45 ptsWWDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.6 goals from Real Salt Lake and 1.5 from San Jose Earthquakes, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: San Jose Earthquakes to score. This is about San Jose Earthquakes's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Real Salt Lake have won one of their last five.
✓San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

27 Jul 2025Real Salt Lake 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes
23 Feb 2025San Jose Earthquakes 4 - 0 Real Salt Lake
6 Oct 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0 - 1 Real Salt Lake
25 Aug 2024Real Salt Lake 0 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes
17 Sept 2023San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes have won three of the last five meetings.

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