San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC prediction

San Jose EarthquakesWDDWD

Nashville SCDWWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.6 from Nashville SC, so Nashville SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Nashville SC come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.3-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.

✓Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last five — four wins and one draw.

✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

28 Apr 2024Nashville SC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes

24 Sept 2023San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC

12 Jun 2022Nashville SC 0 - 0 San Jose Earthquakes

16 Apr 2022San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 2 Nashville SC

All four of the last meetings were drawn.

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