San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 60%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.0 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.3 from St. Louis City, so San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.48, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.