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Football/MLS/Toronto FC v Orlando City
MLS · BMO Field

Toronto FC v Orlando City prediction

Toronto FC crestToronto FC13th in Eastern · 29 ptsWLLLL
v
Orlando City crestOrlando City7th in Eastern · 34 ptsLLLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Toronto FC and 1.7 from Orlando City, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.6 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Toronto FC come into this on four straight defeats. Orlando City come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.7), and we make both teams to score about 63%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Toronto FC have won one of their last five.
✓Orlando City have not won any of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

13 Sept 2026Orlando City 3 - 0 Toronto FC
12 Sept 2026Orlando City 3 - 0 Toronto FC
18 Oct 2025Toronto FC 4 - 2 Orlando City
2 Mar 2025Orlando City 4 - 2 Toronto FC
4 Jul 2024Toronto FC 1 - 2 Orlando City
Orlando City have won four of the last five meetings.

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