Barrow v Eastleigh: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Eastleigh to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.2 goals from Barrow and 1.0 from Eastleigh, so Barrow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Barrow come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Eastleigh to score 1 or fewer. This is about Eastleigh's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.27, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.