What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Atlético Grau and 1.2 from Universitario de Deportes, so Universitario de Deportes come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Universitario de Deportes come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Universitario de Deportes or Draw. This covers Universitario de Deportes or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Universitario de Deportes have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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