What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Cusco FC and 0.8 from Sport Boys, so Cusco FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cusco FC come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cusco FC to win. Cusco FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-0.8), and we make them about 64% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Cusco FC have won three of the last five meetings.
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