How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 62%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 1.3 from Brentford, so Aston Villa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Aston Villa come into this on three straight wins. Brentford come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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