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Football/Premier League/Crystal Palace v Newcastle
Premier League

Crystal Palace v Newcastle prediction

Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace15th of 20 · 4 ptsWLWDL
v
Newcastle crestNewcastle11th of 20 · 8 ptsWDWLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Crystal Palace and 1.4 from Newcastle, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Crystal Palace have won two of their last five.
✓Newcastle have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

12 Apr 2026Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
4 Jan 2026Newcastle 2 - 0 Crystal Palace
16 Apr 2025Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
30 Nov 2024Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle
24 Apr 2024Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Newcastle
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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Full fixture list
Man United crestMan UnitedvTottenhamTottenham crest★★★★★
Man United are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.2), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan United to win · 1.76Share
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