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Football/Premier League/Man United v Bournemouth
Premier League

Man United v Bournemouth prediction

Man United crestMan United12th of 20 · 6 ptsLWDLD
v
Bournemouth crestBournemouth17th of 20 · 3 ptsLDDDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Man United and 1.3 from Bournemouth, so Man United come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Man United have won one of their last five.
✓Bournemouth have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

20 Mar 2026Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man United
15 Dec 2025Man United 4 - 4 Bournemouth
27 Apr 2025Bournemouth 1 - 1 Man United
22 Dec 2024Man United 0 - 3 Bournemouth
13 Apr 2024Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man United
Bournemouth have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.

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More Premier League fixtures

Full fixture list
Man United crestMan UnitedvTottenhamTottenham crest★★★★★
Man United are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.9-1.2), and we make them about 60% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookMan United to win · 1.76Share
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