What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Hull City and 2.0 from Man United, so Man United come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Man United to win. Man United shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-2.0), and we make them about 61% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Hull City to spoil this. The price is shorter than our own read of about 61%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
