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Football/Premier League/Ipswich v Sunderland
Premier League

Ipswich v Sunderland: how it went

Ipswich crestIpswich11th of 20 · 6 ptsDWDDW
2 - 1
Sunderland crestSunderland14th of 20 · 4 ptsLDDWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Over 1.5 goals 73%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.2 goals from Ipswich and 1.4 from Sunderland, so Sunderland come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sunderland come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.7 goals between the two (xG 1.2-1.5), landing about 75% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Ipswich are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Sunderland have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

13 Jan 2024Ipswich 2 - 1 Sunderland
6 Aug 2023Sunderland 1 - 2 Ipswich
18 Dec 2021Ipswich 1 - 1 Sunderland
20 Nov 2021Sunderland 2 - 0 Ipswich
Ipswich have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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