What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Aldosivi and 1.2 from Sarmiento Junin, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Aldosivi to score. This is about Aldosivi's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 69%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Aldosivi have won two of their last five.
✓Sarmiento Junin have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
22 Mar 2026Sarmiento Junin 2 - 0 Aldosivi
14 Sept 2025Sarmiento Junin 2 - 0 Aldosivi
1 Mar 2025Aldosivi 2 - 2 Sarmiento Junin
3 Sept 2022Aldosivi 1 - 2 Sarmiento Junin
9 Oct 2021Sarmiento Junin 3 - 0 Aldosivi
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